Targeted Victory Digital Landscape Reports: State Committees (Facebook)(05/21/2010)

Posted May 21st, 2010 in Blog

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OVERVIEW
Republican State Committees (State GOP) have a 75.16% advantage over Democrat state committees (State DEM) in total “likes”, with 140,380 to 80,150, respectively.  State GOP’s average 323 “likes” per congressional district (CD) versus 184 for the State DEM’s.

State GOP versus State DEM (Facebook)(05/20/2010)

State GOP versus State DEM (Facebook)(05/20/2010)

The same results are found with the national committees where the Republican National Committee (RNC) has a 46.98% advantage over the Democratic National Committee (DNC) in total “likes”, with 129,810 to 88,316 respectively.  The RNC averages 298 “likes” per congressional district versus 203 for the DNC.

National GOP versus National DEM (Facebook)(05/20/2010)

National GOP versus National DEM (Facebook)(05/20/2010)

STATE VERSUS NATIONAL
The State GOP’s have a 8.15% advantage over the RNC (140,380 to 129,810) while the State DEM’s are at a 9.25% disadvantage to the DNC (80,150 to 88,316).

State Committee versus National Committee (Facebook)(05/20/2010)

State Committee versus National Committee (Facebook)(05/20/2010)

WHICH STATE COMMITTEES ARE PERFORMING THE BEST ON FACEBOOK?
The Ohio Republican Party (OH GOP) has the most “likes” for State GOP’s with 11,476 (638/CD) while the Kansas Democratic Party (KS DEM) leads the way for the State DEM’s with 6,124 (1,538/CD).

The West Virginia Republican Party (WV GOP) has the most “likes” per congressional district for State GOP’s, with 3,454, and the Kansas Democratic Party (KS DEM) leads the way for the State DEM’s with 1,531.

Both of these groups also hold the largest lead over their in-state counterpart in terms of “likes” per congressional district.

Best State Committee by Congressional District (Facebook)(05/20/2010)

Best State Committee by Congressional District (Facebook)(05/20/2010)

BATTLEGROUND STATES
State GOP’s hold an advantage for “likes” in 35 states, compared to 15 for State DEM’s, as well as a sizable lead in terms of the electoral college (358 to 177).

In the race for the U.S. Senate, State GOP’s hold an advantage in 8 of the 9 races, identified as “toss up” by the Cook Political Report (05/13/2010).

Senate GOP +/- per CD
Kentucky 1,147
Arkansas 449
Ohio 444
Florida 146
New Hampshire 128
Missouri 110
Colorado 104
Pennsylvania 96
Nevada -372

In the 2010 Gubernatorial Election, State GOP’s have an advantage in 12 of the 17 races, identified as “toss up” by the Cook Political Report (04/15/2010).

Gubernatorial GOP +/- per CD
Wisconsin 735
Ohio 444
Vermont 401
Rhode Island 335
Illinois 315
Connecticut 249
Florida 146
Colorado 104
Pennsylvania 96
Massachusetts 88
Texas 87
Georgia 56
California -33
Minnesota -89
Arizona -147
Iowa -229
Nevada -372


CONCLUSION

The State GOP’s account for 8 of the top 10 rankings on Facebook (by congressional district), and hold an advantage in 35 of the 50 states across the country.   Though it is still very early in the election cycle, intensity in the form of online energy appears to be trending in the favor of the State GOP’s over the State DEM’s.  If this trend holds , then look to State GOP’s to have a tactical advantage when it comes time for GOTV operations due to their larger pool in which to recruit volunteers.

COMPLETE DATA
The table below provides a breakdown of the 100 state committees, ranked by the number of “likes” per congressional district.

Ranks Committee Congressional Districts (CD) Electoral Votes (EV) Likes Likes/CD
1 WV GOP 3 5 10,361 3,454
2 ND GOP 1 3 2,793 2,793
3 AK GOP 1 3 1,855 1,855
4 KS DEM 4 6 6,124 1,531
5 WY GOP 1 3 1,519 1,519
6 KY GOP 6 8 8,158 1,360
7 SD GOP 1 3 1,196 1,196
8 OR GOP 5 7 5,635 1,127
9 ID DEM 2 4 2,194 1,097
10 WI GOP 8 10 7,670 959
11 MT GOP 1 3 892 892
12 AR GOP 4 6 3,023 756
13 UT DEM 3 5 2,228 743
14 WV DEM 3 5 2,152 717
15 MS GOP 4 6 2,834 709
16 LA GOP 7 9 4,945 706
17 MT DEM 1 3 690 690
18 OR DEM 5 7 3,374 675
19 VT GOP 1 3 652 652
20 OH GOP 18 20 11,476 638
21 ID GOP 2 4 1,266 633
22 SC GOP 6 8 3,632 605
23 DE DEM 1 3 579 579
24 DE GOP 1 3 574 574
25 IN GOP 9 11 5,008 556
26 NV DEM 3 5 1,659 553
27 WY DEM 1 3 527 527
28 ME DEM 2 4 1,021 511
29 AK DEM 1 3 494 494
30 ND DEM 1 3 484 484
31 NH GOP 2 4 927 464
32 HI GOP 2 4 924 462
33 MN DEM 8 10 3,348 419
34 NM DEM 3 5 1,226 409
35 NE GOP 3 5 1,180 393
36 TN GOP 9 11 3,440 382
37 NE DEM 3 5 1,145 382
38 IA DEM 5 7 1,895 379
39 KS GOP 4 6 1,393 348
40 CT GOP 5 7 1,733 347
41 ME GOP 2 4 688 344
42 UT GOP 3 5 1,024 341
43 NH DEM 2 4 671 336
44 RI GOP 2 4 669 335
45 MN GOP 8 10 2,633 329
46 IL GOP 19 21 5,980 315
47 OK GOP 5 7 1,566 313
48 AR DEM 4 6 1,228 307
49 AZ DEM 8 10 2,419 302
50 VA DEM 11 13 3,251 296
51 SC DEM 6 8 1,753 292
52 GA GOP 13 15 3,687 284
53 CO GOP 7 9 1,975 282
54 MO GOP 9 11 2,432 270
55 MI GOP 15 17 3,798 253
56 NC GOP 13 15 3,291 253
57 VT DEM 1 3 251 251
58 TX GOP 32 34 7,905 247
59 WA GOP 9 11 2,142 238
60 MA GOP 10 12 2,332 233
61 GA DEM 13 15 2,953 227
62 WI DEM 8 10 1,788 224
63 KY DEM 6 8 1,279 213
64 OH DEM 18 20 3,491 194
65 MD DEM 8 10 1,522 190
66 NC DEM 13 15 2,383 183
67 NV GOP 3 5 542 181
68 FL GOP 25 27 4,468 179
69 CO DEM 7 9 1,244 178
70 MO DEM 9 11 1,442 160
71 TX DEM 32 34 5,123 160
72 PA GOP 19 21 2,978 157
73 AZ GOP 8 10 1,246 156
74 MI DEM 15 17 2,271 151
75 AL DEM 7 9 1,053 150
76 IA GOP 5 7 751 150
77 SD DEM 1 3 147 147
78 MA DEM 10 12 1,457 146
79 NJ GOP 13 15 1,764 136
80 TN DEM 9 11 1,209 134
81 OK DEM 5 7 661 132
82 NM GOP 3 5 383 128
83 WA DEM 9 11 1,056 117
84 HI DEM 2 4 204 102
85 NY DEM 29 31 2,870 99
86 CT DEM 5 7 490 98
87 MD GOP 8 10 769 96
88 VA GOP 11 13 1,034 94
89 NJ DEM 13 15 1,136 87
90 CA DEM 53 55 4,336 82
91 LA DEM 7 9 511 73
92 IN DEM 9 11 609 68
93 PA DEM 19 21 1,149 60
94 MS DEM 4 6 227 57
95 CA GOP 53 55 2,573 49
96 FL DEM 25 27 826 33
97 NY GOP 29 31 537 19
98 AL GOP 7 9 127 18
99 IL DEM 19 21 0 0
100 RI DEM 2 4 0 0

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